Note April 21,2018: Q2/2018 – Markets, Algorithms and the Political Economy. Adding up to expanded volatility when compared to 2017 are the actual market levels of today in equities and fixed income, the new algorithmic data centricity of today and the assumptions of many market and economic models compared to more classical behavioral views of […]
Note March 27, 2018 – When Elephants Rumble: The grass gets trampled – an old African adage. Amid wholesale leadership team remakes in all of the United States, China and Russia, the political risk becomes that none can afford to lose face. The Korea, Levant and south Asia regions remain tense. Point and counter point […]
Note March 21, 2018 – World In An Oyster: In this third week of March 21,2018 alone, there have been developments that are likely to determine outcomes over the next 12-18 months. These developments include leadership and trade politics worldwide; leadership and policy evolution at central banks and within equity markets, the differing sector compositions […]
Note March 14,2018 – Market Tryst With Ides of March: Much has occurred just in the first half of March 2018 in the complexities of mega mergers and market valuation, trade frets and major political developments that lie in not just in the United States. The same can be said about emergent observations by major […]
Note March 7,2018 – Market Correction Distilled: Frequently, market correction and much rarer extreme bear phases seem ostensibly to appear at inconvenient times, notwithstanding history. Much has been expended about the capital market correction of recent weeks. Explanations as to the catalyst range from volatility ETFs to fear of deficits and tariffs to change potential […]
Note February 28,2018 – Governance To Matter: Vitally even amid growth, current risks include deficits, debt and corporate scandal from the U.S. to Europe to Japan to China to India to Brazil and beyond. Relevant globally is the breadth of ongoing corporate tribulations in Japan. Also, ERISA emerged in the U.S. reacting to investment lapses […]
Note February 21,2018: Markets Matters of Choices: Worldwide capital market correlations had previously appeared to loosen but do seem tighter in the aftermath of equity market drops in early February 2018, amid continued increases in U.S. Treasury fixed income instrument yields. When the U.S. and China closed markets on holidays this week, many others were […]
Note February 14,2018: Mortals Don’t Walk On Water: Amid capital markets flaring into higher volatility, it is worth recalling that it is normal. Central banks previously have acted as restraining forces on massive deficit financing, currently need to do so but appear too genteel. Extrapolating quantitative ease already engineered does not mean that crowding out […]
Note February 7,2018: Rotation of Rotation: Unlike the fear and restructuring of 2007 to early 2009, more recent markets until February 2018 have been about complacency with liberal quantitative ease. Amid volatile trade, internal and global politics worldwide, miscalculations could take place. Even if for currently obscure reasons, likely to be next is rising vigilance […]
Inflection Still Looms
Note April 25,2018: Inflection Still Looms – In the equities, fixed income, currencies and commodities space of capital markets as well as in politics, whether raw or on trade. The Federal Reserve with a new Chairman has emphasis on reducing its massive quantitative ease, likely with other central banks at differing paces. Unlike say 1987, […]